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    The global coal market, the role and perspective of Russia

    Number of pages: 156 Number of tables: 59 Number of figures: 60
    Language: Russian
    Released: 18.07.2019
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    Price: 3 000 Euro

    This report is currently available in Russian language only. However, we can provide an English version of the report within 3 weeks after receiving a payment.

     

    This report is the first edition of a study of the global coal market.

    The purpose of the study is to analyze the world coal market, determine the role of Russia in the world market and its prospects.

    Work is a desk study. As sources of information, data from Rosstat, Federal Customs Service of the Russian Federation, Ministry of Energy of the Russian Federation, CDU TEK, IEA, BP, Metal-Expert, UN data, ABS, US Energy Information, AMS of Russia, etc. were used.

    Chronological framework of the study: 2007-2018; forecast for the period up to 2030

    Geography research: World, Russia

     

    The report consists of 3 parts, contains 156 pages, including 60 figures, 59 tables.

    The first chapter of the report provides an overview of the situation on the global coal market, a forecast for the coming years, and also presents data on coal production and consumption in Russia. The analysis of strategic documents of a number of countries on coal is made, the forecast of their consumption of coal up to 2030 is presented.

    The second chapter of the report is devoted to the analysis of world foreign trade in coal. The volumes of deliveries of the main countries and the forecast up to 2030 are shown. A review of Russian coal exports is also given (2016-2018). For a number of countries, the main trends in the development of the coal business have been identified.

    The third chapter of the report contains a forecast of Russian coal exports, depending on world prices.

     

    Target audience of the study:

    - coal market participants - producers, consumers, traders;

    - potential investors.

     

    The proposed study claims to be the reference for marketing services and management decision-makers working in the coal market.

    Annotation

     

    1. World and Russian coal market

    1.1 conjuncture of the global coal market for the period 2016-2018 (demand dynamics - supply, prices for various types of coal products)

    World production

    World consumption

    Prices

    Price Forecast

    1.2 Mining and consumption of coal in Russia in 2016-2018

    Coal mining in the Russian Federation in 2016-2018

    Coal consumption in the Russian Federation in 2016-2018

    1.3 Forecast of the development of the coal market in Russia and the world until 2030

    Russian coal market

    World coal market

    1.4 Review of coal strategy papers from around the world

    European Union

    Germany

    Poland

    China

    India

    USA

    Indonesia

    1.5 Prediction of coal use by major consumer countries

     

    2. Foreign trade in coal of Russia and the world

    2.1 Forecast of coal export volumes up to 2030 by major world exporters

    Australia

    Indonesia

    South Africa

    USA

    Colombia

    Canada

    Mongolia

    Mozambique

    2.2 Volumes of Russian export and import of coal (2016-2018)

    Export

    Import

    2.3 Main countries-consumers of Russian coal

    China

    India

    Japan

    South Korea

    Great Britain

    Vietnam

    Germany

    Israel

    Spain

    Italy

    Latvia

    Malaysia

    Morocco

    Netherlands

    Poland

    Romania

    Taiwan (China)

    Turkey

    Ukraine

    France

    2.4 Key routes of export coal supplies from Russia, the structure of coal transshipment in the ports of the Russian Federation

    2.5 Identification of promising export directions of coal supplies from Russia

     

    3. Forecast of the supply of Russian coal to 2030 with different variants of world prices

    Table 1. The volume of coal production by the world's leading producing countries in 2012-2018, million tons

    Table 2. The world's largest brown coal producers in 2015-2017, mln t

    Table 3. The world's largest coal consumers in 2012-2018, mln t

    Table 4. The volume of coal mining by underground and open pit (million tons) and the number of operating coal mining enterprises (units) in Russia in 2007-2018

    Table 5. The volume of coal production in Russia by type in 2013-2018, mln t

    Table 6. The volume of coal consumption in Russia in 2012-2018, mln t

    Table 7. Main indicators of the development of the coal industry in Russia in the period up to 2030, million tons

    Table 8. Forecast of the consumption of energy sources until 2030, million tons.

    Table 9. Forecast of coal consumption by power plants in regions of the world until 2030, million tons

    Table 10: Indian Coal Laws

    Table 11: Coal Rules of India

    Table 12: Coal Trading Techniques in India

    Table13: List of Amendments in Legislative CutsIndia Coal Mines (Special Provisions) Act, 2015

    Table 14: Forecasts of coal consumption in China, India, Japan, South Korea and Turkey until 2030, million tons

    Table 15. The volume of world trade in coal (coking and energy) in 2000-2018, million tons

    Table 16. Export of coal by the world's largest exporters in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 17. Export volume of power coals in the future until 2030

    Table 18. Export volume of coking coal in the future up to 2030, million tons

    Table 19. Volume of Russian export of hard coal by directions in 2016-2018, mln t

    Table 20. Volume of Russian export of brown coal by recipient countries in 2016-2018, million tons

    Table 21. Import volume of hard and brown coal in the Russian Federation by type and region of departure in 2013-2018, mln t

    Table 22. Coal imports by the largest importing countries in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 23. The volume of imports of steam coal by the largest consumer countries in the future until 2030

    Table 24. Forecast of the volume of coking coal imports by importing countries until 2030

    Table 25. Forecast of consumption and production of energy sources in China until 2030, million tons

    Table 26. Balance of production, consumption and imports of coal in China in 2017, million tons,%

    Table 27. China's imports of coal by sending countries in 2018, mln. tons,%

    Table 28. Forecast of consumption and production of energy sources in India until 2030, million tons.

    Table 29. The main indicators of the coal industry in Japan in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 30. The main indicators of the coal industry in South Korea in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 31: Main indicators of the UK coal industry in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 32: Plans to close coal-fired power plants in the UK until 2025

    Table 33: The main indicators of the Vietnamese coal industry in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 34: The main indicators of the coal industry in Germany in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 35: Plans for the closure of coal-fired power plants in Germany until 2030

    Table 36: The main indicators of the Israeli coal industry in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 37: The main indicators of the Spanish coal industry in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 38: Plans to close coal-fired power plants in Spain until 2030

    Table 39: Main indicators of the coal industry in Italy in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 40: Plans for the closure of coal-fired power plants in Italy until 2030

    Table 41: The main indicators of the coal industry in Latvia in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 42: The main indicators of the coal industry in Malaysia in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 43: The main indicators of the coal industry of Morocco in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 44: The main indicators of the coal industry in the Netherlands in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 45: Plans to close coal-fired power plants in the Netherlands until 2030

    Table 46: Main indicators of the coal industry in Poland in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 47: Plans for closing coal-fired power plants in Poland until 2030

    Table 48: The main indicators of the coal industry in Romania in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 49: Plans for the closure of coal-fired power plants in Romania until 2026

    Table 50: The main indicators of the coal industry in Taiwan in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 51: The main indicators of the coal industry in Turkey in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 52: The main indicators of the coal industry in Ukraine in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 53: The main indicators of the coal industry in France in 2005-2018, mln t

    Table 54: Plans to close coal-fired power plants in France until 2030

    Table 55. List of operating ports of the Russian Federation in which coal transshipment is carried out

    Table 56. Characteristics of the main coal terminals in the seaports of Russia

    Table 57. Exports of coal through Russian ports in 2014-2018, million tons

    Table 58. Characteristics of the main projects for the construction of new and expansion of existing sea terminals for coal transshipment

    Table 59. Forecast of coal export volumes with various options for the dynamics of world prices up to 2030, million tons

    Figure 1. Structure of world coal production in 2018,%

    Figure 2. The dynamics of coal production in the world in 2001-2018, billion tons

    Figure 3. Dynamics of world coal production in a regional context in 2000-2018, mln t

    Figure 4. The structure of world production by type of coal in 2015-2017, mln t

    Figure 5. The structure of the final use of coal in the world in 2017,%

    Figure 6. Dynamics of world coal consumption in a regional context in 2000-2017, mln t AD

    Figure 7. Dynamics of energy coal quotations (based on 6000 kcal / kg) in key ports of the world in 2013-2019, $ / t, excluding VAT

    Figure 8. Dynamics of quotations of solid coking coal in 2013-2019. monthly $ / t

    Figure 9. Forecast of prices for thermal coal on FOB Australia terms up to 2030, $ / t

    Figure 10. Forecast of prices for hard coking coal on FOB Australia terms until 2030, $ / t

    Figure 11. Dynamics of coal production in Russia by underground and open pit in 2007-2018, mln t

    Figure 12. Dynamics of coal enrichment in the Russian Federation in 2012-2018, mln t

    Figure 13. Dynamics of coal production in Russia by coal basins in 2013-2018, million tons

    Figure 14. The structure of coal production in Russia by economic regions in 2018,%

    Figure 15. Dynamics of coal production in Russia in 2013-2018, mln t

    Figure 16. Dynamics of investment in the coal industry in Russia in 2011-2018, billion rubles

    Figure 17. Dynamics of coal production in Russia in 2016-2018 in terms of enterprises, mln t

    Figure 18. The largest Russian producers of coking coal in 2017-2018, mln t

    Figure 19. Dynamics of coal consumption in Russia in 2012-2018, mln t

    Figure 20. Forecast (up to 2030) and actual (2015-2018) data on commissioning of production capacity,%

    Figure 21. Forecast (up to 2030) and actual (2015-2018) indicators of coal production in Russia, mln t

    Figure 22. Primary energy consumption in the world until 2040, mln. er

    Figure 23. Forecast of the share of various energy sources in the world energy balance for the period up to 2030,%

    Figure 24. The forecast of coal consumption in the regions of the world until 2030, million tons AD

    Figure 25. The share of coal in power generation in Europe in 2018,%

    Figure 26. The forecast of coal production in the regions of the world up to 2030, mln.

    Figure 27: The forecast of coal power generation in China until 2030. TWh

    Figure 28: Prediction of coal power generation in India until 2030. TWh

    Figure 29: The forecast of coal power generation in Indonesia until 2030. TWh

    Figure 30. Dynamics of world trade in coal (coking and energy) in 2000-2018 and forecast up to 2030, million tons

    Figure 31. Structure of world exports of thermal coal in 2017,%

    Figure 32. Structure of world exports of coking coal in 2017,%

    Figure 33. Forecast of the dynamics of the supply of steam coal by major exporters, million tons

    Figure 34. Forecast of the dynamics of supply of coking coal by major exporters, million tons

    Figure 35. The main directions of Australian thermal coal exports in 2018

    Figure 36. The main directions of Australian exports of coking coal in 2018

    Figure 37. Forecast of the volume of production and export of thermal coal of Australia up to 2024, million tons

    Figure 38. Geographic structure of the export of coal in Indonesia in 2018,%

    Figure 39. Dynamics of supply of Russian coal to the domestic market and for export in 2000-2018, mln t

    Figure 40. Dynamics of Russian coal export by types in 2016-2018, mln t

    Figure 41. Dynamics of Russian export of hard coal in physical and monetary terms in 2007-2018, mln. Tons, billion $

    Figure 42. Dynamics of Russian export of brown coal in physical and monetary terms in 2012-2018, million tons, million $

    Figure 43. Dynamics of Russian coal export by recipient countries in 2012-2018, mln t

    Figure 44. Dynamics of export of brown coal of the Russian Federation by recipient countries in 2012-2018, mln. Tons

    Figure 45. Forecast of the dynamics of imports of thermal coal by the world's largest importing countries until 2024, million tons

    Figure 46. Forecast of the dynamics of imports of coking coal by the world's largest importing countries until 2024, million tons

    Figure 47. Dynamics and forecast of coal imports in the countries of Southeast Asia in 2014-2024, million tons

    Figure 48. Dynamics and structure of Chinese coal imports by sending countries in 2016-2018, million tons

    Figure 49. The structure of coal imports in India in 2018, million tons

    Figure 50. Dynamics of Russian coal exports to India in 2014-2018, mln t

    Figure 51. The structure of Japan's coal imports in 2018, million tons

    Figure 52. The structure of coal imports in South Korea in 2017, million tons

    Figure 53. Regional structure of the export of export coal of the Russian Federation in 2018,%

    Figure 54. Dynamics of Russian coal exports by main areas in 2014-2018, mln t

    Figure 55. Dynamics of cargo turnover at Russian seaports and coal transshipment in seaports in 2012-2018, mln t

    Figure 56. Structure of coal transshipment in the seaports of the Russian Federation by sea basins in 2018,%

    Figure 57. Structure of coal transshipment by seaports of Russia in 2018,%

    Figure 58. Development of coal terminals in Russia

    Figure 59. Dynamics of increase in the carrying capacity of BAM and Transsib by 2024, million tons / year

    Figure 60. Comparative cost structure of exported coal in different countries, $ / t

     

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